Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.006439 0.007200 0.008028 0.009000 0.010110 0.011343 0.012821
2025-03-09 0.005166 0.006189 0.007396 0.008934 0.010857 0.013197 0.016288
2025-03-16 0.004322 0.005410 0.006760 0.008578 0.010988 0.014112 0.018527
2025-03-23 0.003842 0.004982 0.006458 0.008536 0.011432 0.015389 0.021322
2025-03-30 0.003619 0.004845 0.006492 0.008910 0.012437 0.017504 0.025539
2025-04-06 0.003234 0.004439 0.006108 0.008640 0.012471 0.018205 0.027732
2025-04-13 0.002926 0.004106 0.005785 0.008409 0.012516 0.018896 0.029965
2025-04-20 0.002722 0.003902 0.005624 0.008392 0.012871 0.020089 0.033161
2025-04-27 0.002618 0.003833 0.005653 0.008665 0.013703 0.022137 0.038111
2025-05-04 0.002454 0.003658 0.005501 0.008627 0.014010 0.023325 0.041681
2025-05-11 0.002327 0.003530 0.005409 0.008675 0.014462 0.024808 0.046016
2025-05-18 0.002178 0.003354 0.005226 0.008549 0.014586 0.025701 0.049311
2025-05-25 0.002081 0.003259 0.005175 0.008661 0.015182 0.027601 0.055119
2025-06-01 0.001958 0.003116 0.005033 0.008601 0.015456 0.028931 0.059988
2025-06-08 0.001801 0.002901 0.004753 0.008261 0.015149 0.029050 0.062156
2025-06-15 0.001707 0.002788 0.004640 0.008220 0.015426 0.030404 0.067443
2025-06-22 0.001682 0.002793 0.004734 0.008578 0.016547 0.033710 0.078139
2025-06-29 0.001569 0.002634 0.004521 0.008319 0.016352 0.034081 0.081455
2025-07-06 0.001471 0.002496 0.004335 0.008098 0.016214 0.034560 0.085157
2025-07-13 0.001408 0.002417 0.004255 0.008082 0.016521 0.036124 0.092165
2025-07-20 0.001384 0.002409 0.004307 0.008343 0.017475 0.039385 0.104773
2025-07-27 0.001326 0.002332 0.004222 0.008307 0.017743 0.040975 0.112781
2025-08-03 0.001281 0.002278 0.004178 0.008353 0.018210 0.043145 0.123128